BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Colorado

Class: 1B Class Rank: 44 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =  114.72

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    W   108.97  56  27   NA  21 (  4-  7) Rocky Mountain         -5.23 *   34.23                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    W   107.14  55  52   1B  84 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian      -7.05     10.05                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L   114.59  21  47   1A  67 (  7-  6) Colorado St             0.39    -26.39                      
  4 10/01/2016 Home    W * 121.51  21  18   1B  31 (  5-  6) Northern Arizona        7.31     -4.31                      
  5 10/08/2016 Away    L * 123.64  31  49   1B   2 ( 12-  2) Eastern Washington      9.44    -27.44                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    L *  98.81  21  34   1B  61 (  3-  8) UC-Davis              -15.39      2.39                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    W * 103.94  27  19   1B  94 (  2-  9) Sacramento St         -10.26     18.26                      
  8 10/29/2016 Away    W * 122.64  56  49   1B  56 (  3-  8) Portland St             8.44     -1.44                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    L * 111.28  13  23   1B  19 (  9-  3) North Dakota           -2.91     -7.09                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    W * 127.35  28  25   1B  17 (  6-  5) Montana                13.15    -10.15                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L * 116.29  48  55   1B  26 (  7-  5) Cal Poly SLO            2.09     -9.09                      
      Averages             114.19  34.3 36.2

Best game:  127.35 = 3 point win over Montana
Worst game:  98.81 = 13 point loss to UC-Davis
Team stdev:   9.05